August 30, 2008

Palin for VP: Brazen or Brash...

Kudos to the McCain camp for keeping the true VP nominee under such tight wraps; another kudos for going against the grain of predictability and thinking outside the box. McCain's decision to select Palin is an interesting one, but I think a smart one. While things can always backfire, the sheer shock factor, coupled with the momentum of curiosity for an unknown governor (and a woman no less), will force the Obama camp to relinquish the spotlight over the coming weeks. If done smartly, this could be a real opportunity for McCain and Co. to capitalize on the publicity and connect with voters with a relevant message.

Now, don't get me wrong - I get some of the anti-Palin sentiment. Some may be inclined to wave a finger and tsk-tsk Palin's nomination, but here's why they should pull back the trigger finger just yet and give a thumbs up:

Briefly side-stepping the fact that she is a woman...
- Palin has solid conservative credentials - something we Repubs knew McCain would need in a running-mate given some of his more 'left-of-center' conservative politics.

- While relatively inexperienced in the core political arena (a quality well-served for baby 'Bama and former President Clinton), Palin is young and still brings more relevant experience (of the executive nature) to the table. Granted, the state of Alaska only has 10 residents but....Palin has also served two terms as mayor and two more as city-councilman. Bottom line: she's not a newbie to the process nor the 'business' of politics. During her political tenure, unlike the democratic President-elect, Palin has actually done things.

On this note, i found it rather amusing, and a downright contradiction, that the Obama camp issued this response upon hearing of Palin's pseduo-nomination:

"Today, John McCain put the former mayor of a town of 9,000 with zero foreign policy experience a heartbeat away from the presidency"

Anyone else see the irony in that? Right. And so putting a junior senator with now three years of legislative experience, zero legislative accomplishments, and zero foreign policy experience to speak of in the presidency, says what exactly.....His role on the senate foreign relations committee? laughable. I also found interesting the very carefully chosen words "former mayor" - given the fact Palin has been governor since 2006. Obviously intended to steer attention away from her executive experience. How droll. Lefties...

Moving on...

- Palin carries the "anti-stain" of the stereotypical politician; and for the average Joe (or Josephina), has a niche claim that every politician drools over - she is more relatable to the average American. Let's be honest, when most people think of Alaska Northern Exposure and 'homely' come to mind. It's earthy and hard-working, straight-talking, outdoorsy peeps with close relationships and close familial ties. True or not true, perception is power; perception wins elections. Most loyal Republicans aren't going to go left - regardless of whose on the ticket; and Palin's background, combined with her more mainstream libertarian conservatism, just might be what the party needs to reign-in moderate and conservative democrats.

- Corruption and DC politics was a stain on the Bush Administration and his Republican-majority congress. McCain's efforts to vilify those attributes are strengthened in Palin with her efforts to weed out corruption and wipe-out flagrant misuse of government spending in her own state. I read somewhere that she sold a corporate jet on e-Bay for something shy of $3 million to raise money without raising taxes. I'm all for that. She's innovative and thinks outside the box.

Here's some nice propaganda for you on Palin's conservative nature and political POV:

"She is a throwback to the cowboy individualism of Barry Goldwater, a nod to the fiscal policies of Ronald Reagan, and a flag-bearer for the common-sense pragmatism of ordinary working parents everywhere."

- Palin is a union member as is her husband. Though a departure from standard Republican ideals - which generally look on unions with a sense of disregard and loathing (and let's face it, why wouldn't you really...) - having a union-family will resonate more with voters in swing states like MI and IA, heavy in the unions. A side note...Palin also displays the more uncharacteristic qualities of labor unionites, typically reserved for, well... us respectable non-unionites! She's hard-working and yes, actually works. Guess it beats taking an eight hour lunch break cleverly disguised as an eight hour work day...

- Palin, like McCain, talks in plain-speak and has the nerve to bite back which could serve well against a competitor like Biden, known for his manner of directness and occasional tact-lessness.

Now, given the fact that Palin is a woman...
- I don't believe that simply having a woman on the ticket will reign in female voters other than extreme feminists (that's just naive), but a woman or minority on the Republican ticket is an affront to the leftist (and ok, mainstream) perception that Republicans only elect stuffy, old, white-collared, affluent men. And Palin counters any edge Obama has in being a minority. From a diversity standpoint, her nomination will move Republicans in a new direction and put Republicans and Democrats on even keel during the elections. Bravo McCain and Co!

Yes, the fact that she is an unknown will make her vulnerable to media scrutiny and yes, the potential impacts could implode McCain's campaign with the elections only a few short months away. But the typical "what's in your closet" political hoopla can be muted with a smart strategy, open communication and plain-speak: an approach that has served McCain well in recent months with gaining traction among Democrats and swing voters.

Right now, people are very curious, and McCain and Co are well suited to take advantage, spread their message, and drive momentum. Come November, I think they'll prove to be a formidable duo against Obama and Biden.

17 comments:

Dan said...

I don't see the equivalency of 1) an obviously political choice of a woman as VP and 2) a black man who outfought one of the toughest political machines in recent times and won the Presidential nomination of the Democratic Party. And I don't agree (but to be honest I also don't understand) your assertion that being a black man in America is an advantage for Obama.

Dan said...

You actually wrote:
Come November, I think they'll prove to be a formidable duo against Obama and Biden.

You spend all that time writing strong, forceful opinions and then end with a statement that is
1) passive
-and-
2) hackneyed?

Is this what working at Newspaper has done to you?

Dan said...

what he said ;-)

Anonymous said...

I’m surprised at your liking Palin! She doesn’t seem like the typical Deanna-conservative leader. Plus, you're always quick to point out Obama's lack of experience--given McCain might croak any day now, it makes sense to look at her as a Presidential candidate elect--to a degree. Do you actually like Palin--you'd rally behind her--or are you thinking this was a smart tactical move for the Mccain campaign?

I don’t think she was “bad” choice but can she hold her own in a National debate against Biden? That man has experience and has been around. He’ll cream her. That’s not the kind of attention the McCain campaign will want just before election time.

Deanna Shaw said...

Yep, here we go…

Oh Dan, Dan, Dan...

First, ”[Obama] outfought one of the toughest political machines in recent times” Give me a break; where do you come up with this melodramatic drivel?

Second, there's an obvious comparison that can and is being made between Palin and Obama – particularly when it comes to pulling minority votes from among disenchanted voters that stay home on election day. Drawing the comparison doesn’t require taking huge leaps. It is what it is.

So, generally speaking…why do I feel Obama's race is an advantage… First, that wasn’t’ an all or nothing statement – his race alone doesn’t push him forward just like Palin’s gender alone won’t win-over women voters. That said, conventional wisdom holds that within respective political parties, democrats embrace African Americans more than Republicans **obviously this is a broad generalization**.

Between Hillary and Obama, disenchanted Republicans who aren’t ready for a woman or an African American in the White House aren’t going to vote for either anyway – so no love lost. But Obama will bring out a number of left-leaning voters that haven’t gone to the polls in the last decade or two - some for his talent of speech and “vision” (or IMO, his skillful ability to articulate that vision), and others who believe that putting an African American in the White House is symbolic of real change in this country, and for the better; this includes the African American population that hasn’t voted in recent elections, or ever.

Why else would we compare Palin and Obama? Palin and Obama both lack some relevant experience in some of the same areas (though Palin beats Obama by a mile in most of those areas), and both are partnering with old boys from the block. Few had even heard of Obama just two years ago – a lot has changed. Point is - they're both newbies to the National/International political stage. I’ve heard Palin speak and she’s pretty good. At first glance, she complements McCain in many of the areas where he falls short – Just as Biden and Obama complement each other – I s'pose.

Comparing the two – isn’t a concept that is out of the blue.

And as for the ending to my post…All I can say is, grow up! If you’re going to diss something I write, please let it be on behalf of a reasonably mature cause…

Dan said...

You love this: it's what was missing in your life for the past two months! :-D

Dan said...

First: that came from one of your own: Mr. “Axis-of-Evil”, Brewer of the coolaid, David Frum (link here)

Second: I wasn’t as clear as I should have been. I was refering to your claim that, “...Palin counters any edge Obama has in being a minority.” I think her appeal to women will be limited. For pro-choice, former Hilary supporters, Palin only drives home the fact that McCain is anti-choice. For pro-life women (and more generally all theo-cons) she is a great choice: they love her. But that group was never going to vote for Obama anyway. Perhaps they had felt alienated and were going to stay home this November and now they will support the Republican ticket. But that highlights the problem -- not with choosing Palin, but with the McCain campaign -- John is still trying to wrap up his base!

BTW, I never brought up the issue of experience.

Anonymous said...

Did you watch her speech last night? I wasn't expecting much but she won over my wife and she's a democrat. Not mindblowing but honest and real. I laughed my effin ass off over some of her comments. And the beatdown she gave Oblah-ma..nice. I particularly liked the way she did it too. No melodramatic Oblahma speech - they were fun, funny and yet, everyone "got it". Of course she didn't touch on any economic or foreign policy issues other than oil but then we dont' want another Dick Cheney in the WH anyway.

McCain-Palin in November!
-Chris.

Anonymous said...

D-
Speechless. Since when is Palin your kind of political leader? I thought her speech last night stunk. I was completely and utterly UN-moved. Granted, I was never voting McCain anyway but picking Palin as his running mate just clinched the race for Obama's camp. McCain just buried himself. Good for democrats and ALL Americans but sad to watch someone who was on his up, go down flames all because he tried to pander to two unyielding demographics - left-leaning women and stay at home conversatives.

Dan's right he's not got no chance of winning over women who weren't already voting Republican. Hillary's voters will not swing to the right for a hardcore pro-lifer like Palin. That's a deal breaker right there. Chris' wife might be "the only" convert.

McCain could have won over "some" stay-at-home conservatives by choosing..well, a better running mate. But this audience type is very difficuolt to woo. Picking Palin is a reason NOT to go out.

What happened with Pawlenty? Guess he saw it as a lose-lose election. Smart man.

Deanna Shaw said...

Craig, to answer your question - both! I believe it was a risky, but brilliant tactical move, and, I would [and am] rallying behind her. At this point, I'm all for McCain-Palin. Her actions, speech, presentation, and knowledge of the issues over the next two months will either strengthen my support or no.

Matt, I didn't realize I had an obvious style but look, she's not unlikeable, she's not preachy and melodramatic like Obama, she's not stuffy, tired, and cold like your standard Republican VP, she's got something.

i disagree that she cannot win over women voters who aren't already republican..there are plenty of women who are independents and conservative democrats (and maybe even more liberal democrats) that could very easily go to the right because of her - not because she's a "woman" but because she's a strong woman with the total package and presentation. And all the other things I've already said..

The fact that Palin is very pro-life isn't necessarily a make or break for every woman. I'm pro-choice and still very much a conservative republican. Not all women see abortion rights issues as a key issue for voting for or against a candidate. Thinking it is..is just ignorant and nearsighted. Everybody has their key issue(s) or they at least vote based on which candidate they agree with the most across a range of issues.

Dan said...

Wow! What an exciting, content-free week. But what else could they do?

Saracuda - I can see why she was considered a rising star in the GOP before McCain picked her. She was very good last night; her speech was strong and she played to the crowd like an expert. She is a natural and unless she ends up in jail should be around for many years. She already appears more popular with conservatives than McCain. She seems to have a GWB quality of certainty and confidence. Like GWB, she also seems to lack a sense of introspection or a desire/ability for reflection. Incidentally, I listed to the first part of the speech on the radio as I drove home then switched to the TV. I was more impressed with only the audio: with video I could see her smile-sneer and it only reminded me of GBW's smirk.

It is true that Palin has already energized the Republican base (the McCain campaign has raised over $1 million since her speech), but she may have energized the Democratic base even more (the Obama campaign raised around $10 million).

I'm with Matt on this: I don't see Palin helping McCain reach moderates and independents. McCain looks to be following the Bush plan of 2004 of energizing the conservative base. It worked then, so I suppose the strategy isn't totally insane, but McCain is running against the issues in a way never faced by GWB. I don't think McCain helps matters by not addressing the country's problems.

Deanna is right that the pro-choice/life issue is not the driving force for many, probably most, women. But I think Deanna is way off in thinking Palin will draw women to McCain. A more likely scenario has her bringing in middle-aged men who think she's the sexy Librarian they've been watching on CineMax late at night. But McCain was already doing well with that demographic.

Dan said...

Unintentional irony:
Did you notice that when Palin came out on stage Thursday after McCain's speech, the convention played "Barracuda" by Heart? "Barracuda" is a rant about soulless corporate types exploiting a woman!

David said...

It doesn't take much to want the McCain/Palin ticket. I have in the past during the primaries bashed McCain because he wasn't the best choice. In fact out of the Republicans running he was just about my last choice. But that being said McCain/Palin is our last choice not to become a Marxist society. This Obama character is the last straw. I have no faith that he could even do something as small as jumpstart a car, less the economy.

David said...

It doesn't take much to want the McCain/Palin ticket. I have in the past during the primaries bashed McCain because he wasn't the best choice. In fact out of the Republicans running he was just about my last choice. But that being said McCain/Palin is our last choice not to become a Marxist society. This Obama character is the last straw. I have no faith that he could even do something as small as jumpstart a car, less the economy.

Dan said...

David: "...our last choice not to become a Marxist society"

Have you not been reading the news lately? That ship has already sailed!

Dan said...

Deanna - all kidding aside, do you still have the same positive feelings towards Palin and a possible (although increasingly unlikely) McCain-Palin administration?

Dan said...

...and if so, why?